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MaddisonData

Make it easier for humans to access data from the Maddison Data Project in R. Later releases may include vignettes, etc., documenting analyses using the [KFAS] (Kalman filtering and smoothing, aka state space) techniques with these data.

Objectives: Make it relatively easy in R to do the following:

Find the countries with the highest gdppc for each year for which data are available using MaddisonLeaders().
Refine “1” by deleting companies with high gdppc based on something narrow like a commodity, e.g., oil, since 1600:

library(MaddisonData)
MadDat1600 <- subset(MaddisonData, year>1600)
Leaders1600 <- MaddisonLeaders(c('ARE', 'KWT', 'QAT'), data=MadDat1600)
summary(Leaders1600)
#>     ISO yearBegin yearEnd   n         p
#> ARE ARE      1965    1984   5 0.2500000
#> AUS AUS      1853    1891  17 0.4358974
#> CHE CHE      1931    1934   4 1.0000000
#> GBR GBR      1808    1898  67 0.7362637
#> KWT KWT      1953    1957   5 1.0000000
#> LUX LUX      1991    1995   5 1.0000000
#> NLD NLD      1601    1807 207 1.0000000
#> NOR NOR      1996    2002   7 1.0000000
#> NZL NZL      1873    1874   2 1.0000000
#> QAT QAT      1950    2022  45 0.6164384
#> USA USA      1882    1990  58 0.5321101

Plot the data available on gdppc and / or pop for a selection of countries, e.g., world leaders.

str(GBR_USA <- subset(MaddisonData::MaddisonData, ISO %in% c('GBR', 'USA')))
#> Classes 'tbl_df', 'tbl' and 'data.frame':    1004 obs. of  4 variables:
#>  $ ISO  : chr  "GBR" "GBR" "GBR" "GBR" ...
#>  $ year : num  1 1000 1252 1253 1254 ...
#>  $ gdppc: num  NA 1151 1320 1328 1317 ...
#>  $ pop  : num  800 2000 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA ...
GBR_USA1 <- MaddisonData::ggplotPath('year', 'gdppc', 'ISO', GBR_USA, 1000)

GBR_USA1+ggplot2::coord_cartesian(xlim=c(1500, 1850)) # for only 1500-1850

GBR_USA1+ggplot2::coord_cartesian(xlim=c(1600, 1700), ylim=c(7, 17))


# label the lines
ISOll <- data.frame(x=c(1500, 1800), y=c(2.5, 1.7), label=c('GBR', 'USA'), 
              srt=c(0, 30), col=c('red', 'green'), size=c(2, 9))
GBR_USA2 <- ggplotPath('year', 'gdppc', 'ISO', GBR_USA, 1000, 
                    labels=ISOll, fontsize = 20)  
                        
# h, vlines, manual legend only 
Hlines <- c(1,3, 10, 30)
Vlines = c(1849, 1929, 1933, 1939, 1945)
(GBR_USA3 <- ggplotPath('year', 'gdppc', 'ISO', GBR_USA, 1000, 
       ylab='GDP per capita (2011 PPP K$)', 
       legend.position = NULL, hlines=Hlines, vlines=Vlines, labels=ISOll))

LATER:

Build a state space / Kalman models for gdppc and pop for each country in the Maddison project data.
Use Kalman smooth to interpolate and extrapolate (forward but not backwards) gdppc and pop for each country for all years that appear anywhere in the Maddison project data.
Identify the world leader in gdppc for each year, refining “1” using KFAS interpolation.
Identify the world technology leader for each year by evaluating the gdppc leader for each year and replacing any whose leadership was narrow like members of OPEC with a country with a broad-based economy like the US.

Installation

You can install the development version of MaddisonData from GitHub with:

# install.packages("pak")
pak::pak("sbgraves237/MaddisonData")

Example

[Coming soon.]

library(MaddisonData)
## basic example code

These binaries (installable software) and packages are in development.
They may not be fully stable and should be used with caution. We make no claims about them.