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forecast

The R package forecast provides methods and tools for displaying and analysing univariate time series forecasts including exponential smoothing via state space models and automatic ARIMA modelling.

A complementary forecasting package is the fable package, which implements many of the same models but in a tidyverse framework.

Installation

You can install the stable version from CRAN.

install.packages('forecast', dependencies = TRUE)

You can install the development version from Github

# install.packages("remotes")
remotes::install_github("robjhyndman/forecast")

Usage

library(forecast)
library(ggplot2)

# ETS forecasts
USAccDeaths %>%
  ets() %>%
  forecast() %>%
  autoplot()

# Automatic ARIMA forecasts
WWWusage %>%
  auto.arima() %>%
  forecast(h=20) %>%
  autoplot()

# ARFIMA forecasts
library(fracdiff)
x <- fracdiff.sim( 100, ma=-.4, d=.3)$series
arfima(x) %>%
  forecast(h=30) %>%
  autoplot()

# Forecasting with STL
USAccDeaths %>%
  stlm(modelfunction=ar) %>%
  forecast(h=36) %>%
  autoplot()

AirPassengers %>%
  stlf(lambda=0) %>%
  autoplot()

USAccDeaths %>%
  stl(s.window='periodic') %>%
  forecast() %>%
  autoplot()

# TBATS forecasts
USAccDeaths %>%
  tbats() %>%
  forecast() %>%
  autoplot()

taylor %>%
  tbats() %>%
  forecast() %>%
  autoplot()

For more information

• Get started in forecasting with the online textbook at http://OTexts.org/fpp2/
• Read the Hyndsight blog at https://robjhyndman.com/hyndsight/
• Ask forecasting questions on http://stats.stackexchange.com/tags/forecasting
• Ask R questions on http://stackoverflow.com/tags/forecasting+r
• Join the International Institute of Forecasters: http://forecasters.org/

License

This package is free and open source software, licensed under GPL-3.

These binaries (installable software) and packages are in development.
They may not be fully stable and should be used with caution. We make no claims about them.