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Version 1.1.0 makes two changes. First, it enables estimation of the
conditional misclassification rate of predictions by classification
random forests as proposed by Lu and Hardin (2021). Second, it
compartmentalizes a costly step in the quantForestError
algorithm: The identification of each training observation’s out-of-bag
terminal nodes.
The conditional misclassification rate of predictions by
classification random forests can now be estimated. To estimate it,
simply set the what argument in the
quantForestError function to "mcr".
what will default to this if the provided
forest is a classification random forest. See the example
code below for a toy demonstration of the performance of this
estimator.
The identification of each training observation’s out-of-bag terminal
nodes is now compartmentalized from the main
quantForestError function. By isolating this step from the
main quantForestError function, Version 1.1.0 allows users
to more efficiently iterate the algorithm. Users may wish to feed
quantForestError batches of test observations iteratively
if they have streaming data or a large test set that cannot be processed
in one go due to memory constraints. In previous versions of this
package, doing so would require the algorithm to recompute each training
observation’s out-of-bag terminal nodes in each iteration. This was
redundant and costly. By separating this computation from the rest of
the quantForestError algorithm, Version 1.1.0 allows the
user to perform this computation only once.
As part of this modularization, the quantForestError
function now has two additional arguments. If set to TRUE,
return_train_nodes will return a data.table
identifying each training observation’s out-of-bag terminal nodes. This
data.table can then be fed back into
quantForestError via the argument train_nodes
to avoid the redundant recomputation.
Version 1.1.0 also exports the function that produces the
data.table identifying each training observation’s
out-of-bag terminal nodes. It is called findOOBErrors.
Assuming the same inputs, findOOBErrors will produce the
same output that is returned by setting return_train_nodes
to TRUE in the quantForestError function.
See the documentation on quantForestError and
findOOBErrors for examples.
Neither of these changes affects code that relied on Version 1.0.0 of
this package, as the changes consist solely of a newly exported
function, two optional arguments to quantForestError that
by default do nothing new, and a new possible input for the
what argument.
The forestError package estimates conditional
misclassification rates, conditional mean squared prediction errors,
conditional biases, conditional prediction intervals, and conditional
error distributions for random forest predictions using the plug-in
method introduced in Lu and Hardin (2021). These estimates are
conditional on the test observations’ predictor values, accounting for
possible response heterogeneity, random forest prediction bias, and
random forest prediction variability across the predictor space.
In its current state, the main function in this package accepts regression random forests built using any of the following packages:
randomForest,randomForestSRC,ranger, andquantregForest.Running the following line of code in R will install a
stable version of this package from CRAN:
install.packages("forestError")To install the developer version of this package from Github, run the
following lines of code in R:
library(devtools)
devtools::install_github(repo = "benjilu/forestError")See the documentation for detailed information on how to use this package. A regression example and a classification example are given below.
######################## REGRESSION ########################
# load data
data(airquality)
# remove observations with missing predictor variable values
airquality <- airquality[complete.cases(airquality), ]
# get number of observations and the response column index
n <- nrow(airquality)
response.col <- 1
# split data into training and test sets
train.ind <- sample(1:n, n * 0.9, replace = FALSE)
Xtrain <- airquality[train.ind, -response.col]
Ytrain <- airquality[train.ind, response.col]
Xtest <- airquality[-train.ind, -response.col]
Ytest <- airquality[-train.ind, response.col]
# fit random forest to the training data
rf <- randomForest::randomForest(Xtrain, Ytrain, nodesize = 5,
ntree = 500, keep.inbag = TRUE)
# estimate conditional mean squared prediction errors, conditional
# biases, conditional prediction intervals, and conditional error
# distribution functions for the test observations
output <- quantForestError(rf, Xtrain, Xtest)
######################## CLASSIFICATION ########################
# data-generating parameters
train_samp_size <- 10000
test_samp_size <- 5000
p <- 5
# generate binary data where the probability of success is a
# linear function of the first predictor variable
Xtrain <- data.frame(matrix(runif(train_samp_size * p),
ncol = p))
Xtest <- data.frame(matrix(runif(test_samp_size * p),
ncol = p))
Ytrain <- as.factor(rbinom(train_samp_size, 1, Xtrain$X1))
# fit random forest to training data
rf <- randomForest::randomForest(Xtrain, Ytrain, nodesize = 3,
ntree = 1000, keep.inbag = TRUE)
# estimate conditional misclassification rate
output <- quantForestError(rf, Xtrain, Xtest)
# plot conditional misclassification rate against the signal
plot(Xtest$X1, output$mcr, xlab = "X1", ylab = "Estimated
Misclassification Rate")See DESCRIPTION for information.
Benjamin Lu and Johanna Hardin
These binaries (installable software) and packages are in development.
They may not be fully stable and should be used with caution. We make no claims about them.