To cite poems in publications use:

Fordham D, Haythorne S, Brown S, Buettel J, Brook B (2021). “poems: R package for simulating species' range dynamics using pattern-oriented validation.” Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 12(12), 2364-2371. doi:10.1111/2041-210X.13720, https://besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/2041-210X.13720.

Corresponding BibTeX entry:

  @Article{poemspaper,
    author = {Damien Fordham and Sean Haythorne and Stuart Brown and
      Jessie Buettel and Barry Brook},
    title = {poems: R package for simulating species' range dynamics
      using pattern-oriented validation},
    journal = {Methods in Ecology and Evolution},
    volume = {12},
    number = {12},
    pages = {2364-2371},
    keywords = {distribution, extinction risk, metapopulation,
      pattern-oriented modelling, population dynamics, population
      viability analysis, range shift, spatially explicit population
      model},
    doi = {10.1111/2041-210X.13720},
    url =
      {https://besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/2041-210X.13720},
    abstract = {Abstract Spatially explicit population models (SEPMs)
      can simulate spatiotemporal changes in species' range dynamics in
      response to variation in climatic and environmental conditions,
      and anthropogenic activities. When combined with pattern-oriented
      modelling methods, ecological processes and drivers of range
      shifts and extinctions can be identified, and plausible chains of
      causality revealed. The open-source multi-platform R package
      poems provides functionality for simulating and validating
      projections of species' range dynamics using stochastic,
      lattice-based population models. Built-in modules allow parameter
      uncertainty to propagate through to model simulations, with their
      effects on species' range dynamics evaluated using Approximate
      Bayesian Computation. These validation procedures identify models
      with the structural complexity and parameterisation needed to
      simulate the effects of past changes in climate, environment and
      human activities on species' range shifts and extinction risk. We
      illustrate the features and versatility of poems by simulating
      the historical decline and extinction of the Thylacine Thylacinus
      cynocephalus, an icon of recent extinctions in Australia. We show
      that poems can reveal likely ecological pathways to extinction
      using pattern-oriented methods, providing validated projections
      of the range collapse and population decline of threatened
      species. By providing flexible and extendable modules for
      building and validating SEPMs of species' range dynamics, poems
      allows the effects of past and future threats on species'
      populations to be quantified using well-parameterised,
      structurally realistic models, with important generative
      mechanisms. Since poems can directly unravel ecological processes
      of species responses to global change, and strengthen predictions
      of range shifts and extinction risk—within a flexible, R-based
      environment—we anticipate that poems will be of significant value
      to ecologists, conservation managers and biogeographers.},
    year = {2021},
  }