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smooth

R:

Python:

The smooth package implements Single Source of Error (SSOE) state-space models for forecasting and time series analysis, available for both R and Python.

Installation

R (CRAN):

install.packages("smooth")

R (github):

if (!require("remotes")) install.packages("remotes")
remotes::install_github("config-i1/smooth")

Python (PyPI):

# Not yet available

Python (github):

pip install "git+https://github.com/config-i1/smooth.git@master#subdirectory=python"

For development versions and system requirements, see the Installation wiki page.

Quick Examples

R

library(smooth)

# ADAM - the recommended function for most tasks
model <- adam(y, model="ZXZ", lags=12)
forecast(model, h=12)

# Exponential Smoothing
model <- es(y, model="ZXZ", lags=12)

# Automatic model selection for ETS+ARIMA and distributions
model <- auto.adam(y, model="ZZZ",
                   orders=list(ar=2, i=2, ma=2, select=TRUE))

Python

from smooth import ADAM, ES

# ADAM model
model = ADAM(model="ZXZ", lags=12)
model.fit(y)
model.predict(h=12)

# Exponential Smoothing
model = ES(model="ZXZ")
model.fit(y)

Documentation

Full documentation is available on the GitHub Wiki, including:

• ADAM - Main unified ETS/ARIMA framework
• Function reference - All functions and methods
• Installation guide - Dependencies and troubleshooting

Book: Svetunkov, I. (2023). Forecasting and Analytics with the Augmented Dynamic Adaptive Model (ADAM). Chapman and Hall/CRC. Online: https://openforecast.org/adam/

These binaries (installable software) and packages are in development.
They may not be fully stable and should be used with caution. We make no claims about them.