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uncertainUCDP: Parametric Mixture Models for Uncertainty Estimation of Fatalities in UCDP Conflict Data

Provides functions for estimating uncertainty in the number of fatalities in the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) data. The package implements a parametric reported-value Gumbel mixture distribution that accounts for the uncertainty in the number of fatalities in the UCDP data. The model is based on information from a survey on UCDP coders and how they view the uncertainty of the number of fatalities from UCDP events. The package provides functions for making random draws of fatalities from the mixture distribution, as well as to estimate percentiles, quantiles, means, and other statistics of the distribution. Full details on the survey and estimation procedure can be found in Vesco et al (2024).

Version: 0.5.2
Depends: R (≥ 2.10)
Imports: dplyr, mistr, rlang, tibble
Published: 2024-07-02
DOI: 10.32614/CRAN.package.uncertainUCDP
Author: David Randahl [cre, aut]
Maintainer: David Randahl <david.randahl at pcr.uu.se>
License: MIT + file LICENSE
NeedsCompilation: no
Materials: NEWS
CRAN checks: uncertainUCDP results

Documentation:

Reference manual: uncertainUCDP.pdf

Downloads:

Package source: uncertainUCDP_0.5.2.tar.gz
Windows binaries: r-devel: uncertainUCDP_0.5.2.zip, r-release: uncertainUCDP_0.5.2.zip, r-oldrel: uncertainUCDP_0.5.2.zip
macOS binaries: r-release (arm64): uncertainUCDP_0.5.2.tgz, r-oldrel (arm64): uncertainUCDP_0.5.2.tgz, r-release (x86_64): uncertainUCDP_0.5.2.tgz, r-oldrel (x86_64): uncertainUCDP_0.5.2.tgz

Linking:

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These binaries (installable software) and packages are in development.
They may not be fully stable and should be used with caution. We make no claims about them.