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aggutils: Utilities for Aggregating Probabilistic Forecasts

Provides several methods for aggregating probabilistic forecasts. You have a group of people who have made probabilistic forecasts for the same event. You want to take advantage of the "wisdom of the crowd" and combine these forecasts in some sensible way. This package provides implementations of several strategies, including geometric mean of odds, an extremized aggregate (Neyman, Roughgarden (2021) <doi:10.1145/3490486.3538243>), and "high-density trimmed mean" (Powell et al. (2022) <doi:10.1037/dec0000191>).

Version: 1.0.2
Imports: stats, docstring
Suggests: testthat
Published: 2023-08-22
DOI: 10.32614/CRAN.package.aggutils
Author: Molly Hickman ORCID iD [aut, cre], Zach Jacobs [aut]
Maintainer: Molly Hickman <molly at forecastingresearch.org>
BugReports: https://github.com/forecastingresearch/aggutils/issues
License: MIT + file LICENSE
URL: https://github.com/forecastingresearch/aggutils
NeedsCompilation: no
CRAN checks: aggutils results

Documentation:

Reference manual: aggutils.pdf

Downloads:

Package source: aggutils_1.0.2.tar.gz
Windows binaries: r-devel: aggutils_1.0.2.zip, r-release: aggutils_1.0.2.zip, r-oldrel: aggutils_1.0.2.zip
macOS binaries: r-release (arm64): aggutils_1.0.2.tgz, r-oldrel (arm64): aggutils_1.0.2.tgz, r-release (x86_64): aggutils_1.0.2.tgz, r-oldrel (x86_64): aggutils_1.0.2.tgz

Linking:

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These binaries (installable software) and packages are in development.
They may not be fully stable and should be used with caution. We make no claims about them.